tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20022401.post130766042696494839..comments2023-10-05T16:12:41.773+05:30Comments on A Gudem: Nonsense About Terrorist State StabilityUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20022401.post-20655404772535137112008-12-27T03:07:00.000+05:302008-12-27T03:07:00.000+05:30http://businessandstate.blogspot.com/It is importa...http://businessandstate.blogspot.com/<BR/><BR/>It is important to understand the stakes and strategies defining the current Indo-Pak confrontation. The two rivals have gone beyond the stage of negotiation, and are testing each others resolve. The next step may be a preemptive strike by one against the other, and from there-- war.<BR/><BR/><BR/>http://businessandstate.blogspot.com/<BR/><BR/>I write this with no levity-- there is a strong case to be made against a war in the subcontinent. There is, however, also a case to be made in favor of one. I'd make the two, and hope to read your comments and views on the topic.<BR/><BR/>The case against is indubitably fiercely strong and, long term interests given preeminence, a most incontrovertible one. I'd enunciate five "pillar" arguments in favor of Peace in the Indian subcontinent;<BR/><BR/>The two nations are nuclear-armed.<BR/>The countries are poor, and densely populated, making widespread misery inevitable.<BR/>A war will make matters much worse<BR/>External interference will increase after a war<BR/>Multinational entities and capital will leave the region in droves, and development and commerce will be set back a century.<BR/><BR/>However, as I said in the beginning, there is constrained logic that makes a hesitant case in favor of a war<BR/><BR/>India, maybe unwillingly and even unwittingly, has become one of the global fronts in the "Jihadists" war. <BR/><BR/>http://businessandstate.blogspot.com/<BR/><BR/>The core thesis I want to run by you is: "India cannot prosper inspite of Pakistan, and Pakistan can prosper because of India."<BR/><BR/>To expand on the statement above, there is no way India can be a flourishing democracy without being a growth-economy. To grow, India needs foreign investment, for which it needs security, which it cannot have if the current relations with Pakistan continue. I hope my words don't sound critical of Pakistan-- it is great country, and a greater nation, though a suffering state. But Pakistan has the potential to hold India back.<BR/><BR/>Equally, India has the potential to help Pakistan grow-- India, with it's mercantile success, experience with democracy and liberalism (I would unhesitatingly accept all specific criticisms of Hindu fundamentals,) and progress on property rights -- can help Pakistan build a stronger economy, fashion stronger institutions, reverse the politicization of the military, and reduce the exhausting spending on defence.<BR/><BR/>http://businessandstate.blogspot.com/Hersh Chaturvedihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12570382314060427474noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20022401.post-18132881219334275102008-12-24T05:41:00.000+05:302008-12-24T05:41:00.000+05:30Chandra,I think among the list 'Announce renegotia...Chandra,<BR/><BR/>I think among the list 'Announce renegotiations of the Indus Water Treaty as the terms unduly favour Pakistan.' is probably the most potent weapon. <BR/><BR/>However, instead of talking of renegotiations right away, it is probably a good idea to subvert the treaty, making the treaty useless all but in its name. If this doesn't work out, even withdrawing from it might be considered. <BR/><BR/>I wonder if a similar strategy towards Bangladesh would work - my doubts arise due to the China factor and geography of the place.Photonmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17695894057640886434noreply@blogger.com